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The weekend weather forecast for the high country of Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado. Researched and written by professional meteorologist and avid mountaineer, Dan "the weather man" Gottas.
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Thursday, August 24th, 2011
Rocky Mountain National Park Weather Forecast
A typical summertime weather pattern consisting of warm temperatures and afternoon thunderstorms occurred over the past week across RMNP.
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Week in Review
The best weather days for more committing outings occurred on days when vertically integrated water vapor (IWV) values dropped near or below 0.7 cm at 12 kft. Thursday, 8/18 was one such day.
Scattered but locally intense thunderstorms lurked about on days when IWV exceeded 1.25 cm, e.g., Friday, 8/19.
IWV forecasts can be accessed here.
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Last week's water vapor /thunderstorm analysis over the Front Range of Colorado.
Click on images to enlarge.
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Our view from Lambslide across the lower east face and Chasm View Wall on Aug. 14th, 2011 on what will likely be our final ski descent of the summer season on Longs Peak. Broadway was still showing these snow patches on the northern end and we didn't see the sun all day on this overcast and breezy venture.
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The Upcoming Week
Deep anti-cyclonic flow centered near the southern CO border will allow subtropical moisture to stream across the Park from AZ and NM.
These elevated levels of moisture, with 12kft IWV remaining near or above 1.0 cm, will provide enough fuel to maintain the afternoon-thunderstorm cycle over the next week.
The passage of a westerly wave to the north on Tuesday 8/30 may usher in enough drier air to temporarily suppress the thunderstorm activity.
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Tami Hernandez of Loveland, CO celebrating her birthday on the Keyhole Route of Longs Peak with Eli Helmuth - Congratulations to Tami on her ascent of RMNP's highest summit!
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Detailed 7-Day Forecast
The link above will take you to the National Weather Service forecast for the 12,000 foot level near Longs Peak. These forecasts are derived from computer-generated numerical forecasts, and are updated shortly after 3:30 am, 9:30 am, 3:30 pm, and 9:30 pm local time. In the lower right-hand corner of the page, one can view forecasts for other locations in the Park by clicking on the desired location in the terrain map.
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Do-It-Yourself Weather Forecast Links
The link above provides a list of web links to various sites containing a variety of meteorological data and information. Collectively, these resources can be used to monitor and study current weather conditions, as well short-term, medium-range, and climate forecasts
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