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Aug. 5th Mountain Wx Forecast

aug5 weather

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The weekend weather forecast for the high country of Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado.  Researched and written by professional meteorologist and avid mountaineer,  Dan "the weather man" Gottas.


Thursday, August  5th, 2010


Rocky Mountain National Park Weather Forecast

The wettest and stormiest weather of the summer season shrouded the Park over the past week.

Week in Review


High levels of absolute moisture (1.5 – 2.0 cm of water vapor over Niwot Ridge) within a deep moist plume stretching from the southwestern US through Colorado was the main culprit for the persistent stormy soaking.

Numerous rainfall measurements from Indian Peaks to RMNP totaled 1.5 – 3.0 inches of liquid over the period in the sub-alpine zone.  With radar estimates of 2-3 inch-per-hour rainfall rates from some of the more intense storms, locally higher rainfall totals are likely.

Eli’s Diamond attempt on the morning of 8/4 was preceded by a multi-hour deluge the prior afternoon and evening.  Radar reflectivity indicated hail, groupel, and heavy rain over Longs, all of which were verified by the soggy, slushy aftermath on the approach.


longs peak diamond
Partly cloudy skies over the Diamond on Aug. 4th following a deluge that included snow, hail, and a flashflood of water.

colorado weather forecast
The last week of weather over the Continental Divide of northern Colorado.


The Upcoming Week


While our typical August thunderstorm cycle has plenty more to give, somewhat of a reprieve is forecast for part of the upcoming weekend.

Drier air is expected to work its way in on Friday (8/6), and is likely to produce one of the best weather days of the period over the Park.  These good tidings will continue to a lesser degree on Saturday (8/7), before another shot of juice moves in on Sunday.

Late afternoon showers and storms are still possible on Friday and Saturday, however they would be more isolated in aerial coverage and much less intense than those of recent days.

This type of reduced activity may reemerge early next week, if the current forecast tendency for additional drying verifies.

colorado weekend forecast
The weekend weather forecast.

Detailed 7-Day Forecast

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NWS Forecast for the 12,000 foot level near Longs Peak

The link above will take you to the National Weather Service forecast for the 12,000 foot level near Longs Peak.  These forecasts are derived from computer-generated numerical forecasts, and are updated shortly after 3:30 am, 9:30 am, 3:30 pm, and 9:30 pm local time.  In the lower right-hand corner of the page, one can view forecasts for other locations in the Park by clicking on the desired location in the terrain map.
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Do-It-Yourself Weather Forecast Links
Weather Observations and Forecasts

The link above provides a list of web links to various sites containing a variety of meteorological data and information.  Collectively, these resources can be used to monitor and study current weather conditions, as well short-term, medium-range, and climate forecasts



 

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