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January 9th Conditions Report

 

Up-to-date information on the alpine routes, backcountry skiing, and trail conditions for Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado.  Snow conditions and avalanche danger are forecast by Eli Helmuth, an AMGA certified rock, alpine, and ski mountaineering guide and the new owner of ClimbingLife Guides, a  year-round guide service based in Estes Park offering worldwide mountain trips and local seminars in the climbing and skiing arts.

<span class="">jan009 conditions</span>

Warning:
  Route conditions change constantly, especially in the mountains.  Climbing and backcountry skiing are dangerous.  Be flexible in your  plans, prepare for the worse case scenario, and be experienced enough for what you are doing. Seek qualified instruction and use proper equipment.  ClimbingLife and its owners accept no liability for your decisions in the peaks.
 

January 9th,  2009

Conditions Report


(Jan. 10th Update below)

 

Rocky Mountain National Park

dragontail spire
Dragontail Spire in the afternoon light on January 9th, 2009
lumpy ridge colorado
Lumpy Ridge on the morning of January 9th.  There were approx. 2" of new new snow at the Bear Lk. trailhead on this same morning.   The warm weather this last week heated up this south-facing hillside very effectively.    There would be some cold jams (and sticky rock)  available at Lumpy and with no wind in the valley and a strong sun, not bad for January.  Any takers?

Following a week of raging winds and a shot of new moisture, the high country of Rocky Mountain National Park was looking a bit more wintery on January 9th with the trees holding 2-4 inches of new snow on their limbs.

Up to a foot of fresh powder (6-8 inches avg.) was covering the ground in the below- treeline and treeline zones on my ski tour from the Bear Lk. trailhead to the west end of Emerald Lake and into the Dragontail Couloirs.
longs peak rocky mountain national park
The avalanche danger was rated overall MODERATE today (1/9) by the CAIC with this danger rating being forecast for all elevation ranges and aspects in the Front Range mountains which include RMNP.

This is the first time this year that the avalanche danger rating has gone this low and so while I was up touring in the Tyndall Gorge, I took a look at the  signs and symptoms of this potential.  

While stomping around with my skis on some of the north-facing slopes  at treeline between Dream and Emerald Lakes, I was able to cause some deep collapses (1.5 meter down on the ground/basal/depth hoar facets) .  This was done on small 'test slopes" angled in the  upper 30's in somewhat dense trees and isolated steeper sections.

I checked some of these north-facing, treeline elevation range slopes where this strong over weak layering has been the biggest avalanche issue thus far this winter in Colorado, and found that the snowpack here is still relatively weak and should be treated with suspicion.

Caution is advised when considering travel on the steeper north and east, lee-loaded aspects.  Despite the lower avalanche danger rating, there are still plenty of pieces of terrain that are not supportive of the snowpack above and where you could very likely cause a large slab avalanche.
dragontail couloir rocky mountain national park
 
The Dragontail Couloir was in solid enough looking ski shape on Friday and  with the 6-8 inches of powder sitting in there, it looked pretty good for sliding down.  Wind-caused slabs could have formed in the meantime and there is no knowing yet what tomorrow will bring, but on this day conditions were pretty ideal in this specific chute, which is always a risky proposition to slide down at high speeds on snow.
 
There was evidence of loose snow avalanche debris a few meters thick on the central (right) Dragontail Couloir, primarily near the bottom. No evidence of crowns or other debri were observed but there are still many rocks near the surface on the lower slopes and I was stopped quickly below Emerald by a tree root near the trail that my ski dove under!
 

This is what the CAIC is currently saying about avalanche danger in these mountains and I concur with limited recent observations in the Longs Peak to Trail Ridge Road, east side of RMNP for Jan. 9th, 2009:

"The avalanche danger for the Front Range zone is generally MODERATE. In the danger may be higher in the Cameron Pass area, which received more snow during the last event. Moderate avalanche danger means that natural avalanches are unlikely, but human triggered avalanches are possible. Historically, in Colorado most fatal avalanche accidents occur when the danger is rated moderate." -CAIC 

(Jan. 10th Update)

Backcountry travellers should be highly aware that conditions change quickly and yesterday's powder can be today's dangerous wind slab as we experienced on our Avalanche Seminar on Saturday, Dec. 10th.  Extreme wind turbulence along the Continental Divide produced white-out conditions above treeline and at treeline elevations (approx. 10k), there was substantial wind loading occurring and steep, forested slopes or open glades have consistent strong over weak layering that were producing difficult but clean shears at approx. 80cm depths.  There are finger and pencil density slabs sitting on numerous thick faceted layers including well developed depth hoar grains on all treeline aspects. 

Wind loading above treeline was severe on the 10th and both slab formation and D2-3 sluffs should be expected in the on the lee and cross-loaded slopes such as the Dragontail Couloirs, along the base of Hallett, and on any other steeper than 30 degree terrain.   We did some slope cutting yesterday(1/10) on steep (35-45), north aspects at treeline and released a few 4-6" slabs that propogated just 1-2 meters.   These cross-loaded slopes at 10.5K in the Tyndall Gorge had a snowpack that varied between bare ground and open glades with an avg. 250cm snowpack.

As always, less-supported slopes, those with cliffs along the base or cornices at the top are most suspect due to their lack of structural integrity and lee slopes (N,E, S) will currently have CONSIDERABLE Avalanche Danger as of January 10th due to the higher potential for easily triggered wind-formed slabs and the potential for large sluffs in steeper terrain. 


west ridge longs peak pagoda mountain   hallett peak rocky mountain national park  backcountry skiing in rocky mountain national park
The west ridge of Longs and Pagoda Peak,  north buttress of Hallett Peak,  and the lower Dragontails.

squid ice climb rocky mountain national park

The Squid is one of the testpiece ice routes when it is IN shape, which in my 10 years of  experience in RMNP has been a rare occurrence.  Only a handful of weeks really over the decade has The Squid been IN and last year was without a doubt the best for this classic and very ephemeral ice route. 

When it's above freezing  and sunny like much of the last week has been, this ice route can disappear quickly or go from IN to very dangerous in less than an hour... such is the fickle nature of this sport.  Currently The Squid is OUT of ice shape but in good mixed shape protected by large cams at approx. 5.10+.  

snowshoeing dream lake rocky mountain national park
Afternoon light drapes the Tyndall Gorge on January 9th, 2009.

 We'll be out in these canyons of Rocky Mountain National Park on most days in the weeks and months to come.  Following the Avalanche Seminar this weekend, I'll post our pit data and a more detailed avalanche forecasts as conditions and snowpack change.


Joanne and I  are very excited about the start of our new guide service:  ClimbingLife Guides  which opens the doors for business this week.   We are based in Estes Park  and will  be offering outings and seminars in Rocky Mountain National Park, Eldorado Canyon and around the world in the climbing and backcountry skiing arts.  Eli will be leading all of our trips while Joanne manages the business.  

We hope that many of you will choose to use our services when looking to further your understanding of the avalanche phenomenon as Eli has the experience as an educator and practitioner to maximize your learning experience.  Our seminars in backcountry skiing include in-depth assessments of avalanche conditions and practice of safer travel techniques, route finding, and avalanche rescue skills. 
 
Or maybe you'd like to join Eli  for a great  day out in Rocky Mountain National Park while sliding through some of the best powder that the Front Range has to offer.  Our first bookings  start on January 9th  and we'll  look forward to sharing many great adventures in the mountains and canyons with many of you in the years to come.

Best of luck with all your adventures in 2009!

Eli and Joanne Helmuth

ClimbingLife Guides
 
eli helmuth    joanne helmuth climbing in rocky mountain national park
North American avalanche Danger Scale
Danger Level
(& Color)
Avalanche Probability and Avalanche Trigger

     Degree and    Distribution of Avalanche Danger

Recommended Action
in the Backcountry
...WHAT... ...WHY... ...WHERE... ...WHAT TO DO...

LOW

(GREEN)
Natural avalanches very unlikely. Human triggered avalanches unlikely Generally stable snow. Isolated areas of instability. Travel is generally safe. Normal caution is advised.

MODERATE

(YELLOW)
Natural avalanches unlikely. Human triggered avalanches possible. Unstable slabs possible on steep terrain. Use caution in steeper terrain and  on certain aspects. 

CONSIDERABLE

(ORANGE)
Natural avalanches possible. Human triggered avalanches probable. Unstable slabs probable on steep terrain. Be increasingly cautious in steeper terrain.

HIGH

(RED)
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely. Unstable slabs likely on a variety of aspects and slope angles. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Safest travel on windward ridges and lower angle slopes without steeper terrain above.

EXTREME

(BLACK)
Widespread
natural or human triggered avalanches certain
.
Extremely unstable slabs certain on most aspects and slope angles. Large, destructive avalanches possible.

Travel in avalanche terrain should be avoided and travel confined to low angle terrain well away from avalanche path run-outs.


 

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