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Jan. 8th Snow and Ice Conditions
Ice climbing and avalanche conditions for the more popular ice routes and ski descents in Rocky Mountain National Park are updated regularly by Eli Helmuth;  Estes Park resident, IFMGA licensed mountain guide, AIARE trained avalanche educator and owner of ClimbingLife Guides.
<span class=""><span class="">jan</span>.11 conditions</span>

Warning:  Ice and avalanche conditions change constantly and the information provided here should not be the final say in making the best decisions in regard to your risk management in the mountains.  ClimbingLife, LLC and its contributors accept no liability for your decisions based on this information.  Ice and mixed climbing are very dangerous sports and one can easily die or be seriously injured engaging in these activities.  Proceed at your own risk, plan for the best outcome and be prepared for the worst.


January 8th, 2010


Ice and Snow Report

Rocky Mountain National Park  


We've survived the recent cold snap with temperatures reaching 0F for two nights in a row here at 8,700'.  Snow accumulations during this time were minimal in the Estes Park Valley, with just 1-2" observed from 7500' up to the Bear Lake trailhead at 9520' where only 3" were recorded at the monitoring station  from this most recent storm and a total of 7" of new snow have landed there in this first week of the New Year.

Although Bear Lake has this weather station with real time date, the reality of RMNP in the winter is that the  strong rain (snow) shadow affect combined with extreme wind transport and resulting lee loading, give us a highly variable snowpack.  A great example of this high variability was where I dug a test pit yesterday at the junction of the Dragontail and Dead Elk couloirs, just a few feet below the bottom of the photo at right.  

After digging down a meter below the surface  to look at layering and do a column compression test, I put my 2.5m probe pole into the bottom of this pit and it didn't hit pay dirt.  So in this spot I had more than 11 feet of snow beneath the surface- significantly more than the almost 3 feet at the trailhead just 2 miles to the east.  Just 50' to the side of this pit, I could see bare ground with short grass sticking up above an inch or two of snow.  

This is  an extreme example of 'high variability' in the snowpack, but it illustrates why snowpit data is less relevant in areas like this where the snowpack can be completely different within a short distance and so what you find in one pit sample could be completely non-representative of the snowpack just a few feet away.

 dragontail couloir colorado
The spectacular Dragontail Ridges on Jan. 7th, 2010.  There was significant avalanche debris piled up along the base of the Dragontail Couloir (at right) from recent naturally released avalanches in the last few days. 

Click on outlined photos to enlarge.

 Skiing in the Dragontail Couloir with ClimbingLife Guides.

thatchtop mountain all mixed up colorado

As you can see in the photo above of the east face of Thatchtop Mountain, which divides the Glacier Gorge and Loch Vale drainages, wind scouring has removed most of the snow from the ridge crest where the avalanche danger would be considered LOW.  The lee slopes that are snow covered in this photo conversely would have  CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger, especially where there are steeper angles, convexities in the slope (similar to why ice shatters when you swing the tools into a bulge), and above cliffs where the slopes are unsupported by the terrain below.
 
Ice climbing locations like the Loch Vale ice area, All Mixed Up, and Necrophilia all sit on the flanks of Thatchtop Mountain, and these areas are all very different in character  from other locations in RMNP as they are aquifer based.   It seems that the water level is lower this year as these areas are relatively dry and unlikely to grow anymore at this point in the season.  Aquifers are fed by snowmelt and rainfall during the spring and summer months, and for some reason this does not appear to be a good year.  The Loch Vale ice area is the leanest I've seen it in the last decade and it will only shrink as the cold winter weather tends to sublimate what ice is in place- very little at the moment.
 

Although the Bear Lake snotel site is a good indicator of recent snowfall amounts, as I mentioned earlier, the combination of wind loading and increased snowfall amounts as you move west towards the divide in RMNP, create very different amounts of snow on the ground.   

One of my favorite skiing spots in the park are the slopes adjacent to the Dragontail Spires where higher snowfall totals combined with lee and cross-loading create a very deep snowpack and the snow depth in this pit shown at right, was greater than 11 feet to the ground.  

So depth hoar is a non-issue in this specific location, but there were other weak bonds in the upper snowpack that showed relatively moderate reactiveness in the one shovel compression test that I had time to perform.  

Although we have worried a lot this winter for good reason about the depth hoar base to the snowpack as it has been the source of many large propagating  slab avalanches in Colorado, statistically depth hoar is not the big killer and in places where the snowpack is consistently more than 2 meters deep, depth hoar is likely a non-issue unless we are cliff jumping or riding around on fast, heavy machines or there is high variability in snowpack depth. 

Traveling on a deeper snowpack, especially on slopes that are well supported from above and below and that lack convexities can be the key components in avoiding slab avalanche problems.

 


snowpit data dragontails colorado

A test pit dug on Thursday the 7th of January at the base of the Dragontail Spire.  
 
Boot penetration was only a foot deep in this location through the 30cm of fresh snow that was deposited in the last 24hrs.  Below this most recent storm snow was another almost two foot thick layer of also recent storm snow with this combined 90cm of new snow sitting on a pencil hard layer of wind hammered snow.  In compression tests, the interfaces of both of these new storm layers sheared moderately well away from each other.   On the opposite side of this valley was a recent slab crown (shown below) that based on the  size, was likely at this upper layer interface.
 
dragontails rmnp colorado

 
 A view from Emerald Lake of the Dragontail apron and adjacent couloirs.  Typically by this time of the year, there are only a few rocks showing on these slopes and so we need another meter of snow on these lower slopes to bring this often sweet skiing location into good shape.

 

The Hallett Couloir at right was photographed on Jan. 7th, 2010 and this is the same slope that a CMS guide and his clients fell down together in May of 2009, luckily resulting in only minor injuries to the clients and an unfortunate shattered ankle for the guide.  

The upper part of this couloir is in the mid-40 degree angles and the crown from a slab avalanche in this photo is an area of the couloir that is in the mid-30 degree range of steepness.

It's rare to find good mid-winter skiing in this couloir and even in the spring the lower sections are often bare rock which make for a shorter than ideal ski run.  This couloir is the common descent for the East Buttress of Hallett but not for the rock routes on the North Buttress of Hallett as the ledgey cliffs to the right of the couloir are the common descent route.

There was no ice on the lower 2/3 of the Squid in the Tyndall Gorge and the only visible ice was the small flow at the base of the First Buttress of Hallett, shown below.

The only good ice climbing this winter in RMNP seems to be centered around the most common flows which are waterfalls and stream fed:  The West Gully, Black Lake Slabs, Jewel Lake, The Squid, and Hidden Falls are all in good ice shape this winter and will remain so for some months to come.




hallett couloir colorado

Looking up the north-facing Hallett Couloir,  which lies just east  of the Hallett Chimney.  The white line in this photo about 2/3 up the couloir is the crown from a recent naturally released slab avalanche that would have run in the last 24hrs and is the best indication that stability on such slopes is POOR with avalanche danger being HIGH.  The terrain trap of large boulders that sit at the bottom of this couloir would make this a likely injurious ride.

longs peak colorado

(Above) The north and west faces of Longs Peak showing mostly snow-free terrain on January 7th, 2010.  Avalanche danger on these slopes is likely in the LOW to MODERATE rating and so these is the terrain where a winter ascent of Longs would be most ideal to avoid post-hole type snow and avalanche potential.

Winds over the last few weeks  had been consistently peaking in the 60 mph range at 12k along the Continental Divide, and so there are many areas with LOW avalanche danger despite the current rating from the CAIC that ranges from  CONSIDERABLE to HIGH for the Front Range and has stayed at this potential defined as:  human caused avalanches are probable or likely on slopes greater than 30 degrees in steepness.   

This forecast would be most true for specific  slopes that are loaded from these high winds and new snow and include:

1. lee or cross wind- loaded          2. 35-45 degree angle       3. convex or unsupported terrain

 As always, the CAIC website should be checked daily to follow changes in the snowpack and for the most current danger ratings and avalanche activities across the state of Colorado.  We have been very fortunate thus far this winter that despite a very weak and reactive snowpack, there have been no avalanche fatalities in Colorado.  This is likely a result of the  less than ideal riding conditions which have decreased the amount of backcountry traffic and thus potential for avalanche accidents.

 chaos canyon rmnp colorado   hallett peak colorado

(Above)  Views of the Chaos Canyon and below, the Terrain Park with the mid-slopes of the South Face of Hallett Peak showing some snow coverage.  The old glacier slope at the head of Chaos Canyon was flanked by large crowns in late December and is prime avalanche terrain with mid-3o degree slopes and severe lee loading on convex slopes.  

(Right)  Looking up the Tyndall Gorge with the North Buttress of Hallett hiding in the cold shade and much of the upper gorge snow-free.  The remnant Tyndall Glacier at the head of the valley is also prime avalanche terrain and one of the more likely places to cause a slab avalanche in these mid-winter conditions.


hallett ice climb colorado   mixed climbing colorado
(Left) The short section of ice that leads into some fine Hallett style gneiss for a short multi-pitch adventure.  Check-out the description of this route on Mountain Project.

(Right)  Ryan Bogus and I have been spending much of our free time this winter exploring the mixed potential of the Hidden Falls area of the Wild Basin in RMNP.  With more ice than usual in this sheltered location and just a short, flat walk from the trailhead, this is about as close to Vail-like mixed climbing as you'll find in RMNP with mostly trad-protected cracks on solid granite being the style of climbing here.
 
This video was shot on our first day of 'working' the route which we named "Firhang" due to the Fir tree start to an overhanging crack.  This new route is adjacent to the well formed and most popular ice climb in RMNP- Hidden Falls.   Ryan and I  both  led this cimb the following week in better style, but still with gear pre-placed in the crack.  Competition ice climber, Rob Cordery-Cotter led this route in early January, onsight with the gear pre-placed as a warm-up for the Ouray ice comp.



ifmga mountain guide license       amga certified rock, alpine, and ski mountaineering guide  

Eli Helmuth of ClimbingLife Guides offers ski tours and private backcountry Avalanche Seminars and Backcountry Skiing Clinics that focus on practical skills for minimizing the risks while maximizing the fun in snow covered terrain whether you are on skis, board, snowshoes, or crampons.  If you've already taken an avalanche course, check-out our Level 1 Refresher Clinic which is a mountain-based day in the peaks of RMNP, dedicated to increasing your abilities in making decisions in avalanche terrain.

These seminars will  increase your skills and abilities in making  better backcountry decisions while taking advantage of the great mid-winter skiing and climbing that Colorado has to offer.  Check-out our full schedule of outings here for the 2009/10 season.

Contact us at:  This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it or call 970.744.4898 to plan a fun-filled and educational mountain outing with Eli Helmuth, RMNP's most experienced mountain guide.  

Check-out photos from our recent trip to Ecuador here for climbs on the mighty volcanoes which flank the Altiplano, between the Amazon Basin and Galapagos Islands of this exotic Andean nation.

 

Photos below are only representative of common conditions, they are not current.

Consult the CAIC website for current Avalanche Danger forecasts here.
 

Routes are sorted by current forecast Avalanche Danger Level:


LOW Avalanche Danger as of 1/7/10
 


Hidden Falls
WI- 3+


hidden falls rocky mountain national park colorado
 
  IN -getting beat up 


Loch Vale Ice

WI 2-5
M1-8


loch vale ice rocky mountain national park colorado

barely IN- bad year

 

Jewel Lake
WI 2-3


jewel lake ice rocky mountain national park colorado

IN
and busy
with guided  groups.


LOW Avalanche Danger as of 1/7/10
 

Jaws
WI 3-5

jaws ice climb rocky mountain national park colorado

IN -  not complete

 

Squid
WI 5

squid ice climb rocky mountain national park colorado

OUT -  too dry

 

 

Deep Freeze
WI- 5

deep freeze ice route colorado

OUT - too dry

 


MODERATE Avalanche Danger as of  1/7/10  (human caused possible)
 


Columbine Falls

WI 3-4

columbine falls longs peak colorado

IN 

 


Necrophilia

WI 5, M5

necrophilia ice route colorado

OUT 

 

 
Black Lake Slabs
WI2

 black lake slabs glacier gorge colorado

IN

 


MODERATE Avalanche Danger as of  1/7/10  (human caused possible) 

 

The Crypt
WI-4

crypt ice climb rocky mountain national park colorado

IN-

 

Grace Falls
WI 3-5

grace falls ice climb colorado

IN 

 NE Gully
WI3

NE Gully Thatchtop Mountain Colorado

IN


CONSIDERABLE Avalanche Danger as of  1/17/10  (human caused probable) 


Flying Dutchman
WI-2

flying dutchman ice route colorado

OUT

 

All Mixed Up
WI -3,  M2

all mixed up ice route rocky mountain national park colorado

IN- rock in middle
West Gully
WI - 3

west gully ice climb colorado

IN- fat


CONSIDERABLE Avalanche Danger as of  1/7/10  (human caused probable)

 

Martha
WI - 2, M-1

martha ice route longs peak colorado

could be  IN 


 

 

Hallett's Chimney
WI-5, M-4

hallett chimney ice route colorado

OUT - wait until spring

 

 

Field's Chimney
WI-5. M4

field's chimney longs peak colorado

OUT

 



CONSIDERABLE Avalanche Danger as of  1/7/10  (human caused probable)

 

Alexander's Chimney
WI-4, M4

alexander's chimney

IN but thin 

and not complete

 


Smear of Fear

WI-5, M5

smear of fear longs peak colorado ice climb

OUT

 

New Beginnings
WI-5, M5

new beginnings ice climb colorado

OUT but forming



CONSIDERABLE Avalanche Danger as of  1/7/10  (human caused probable)

 

The Window
WI-5, M4

window ice route longs peak colorado

OUT

 

 

Vanquished
WI-5, M4

vanquished ice climb rocky mountain national park colorado

OUT

 

 

Hot Doggies
WI-5+

hot doggies ice climb colorado climbinglife guides

OUT but close to IN

 


HIGH  Avalanche Danger as of 1/7/10  (human caused likely)

 

East Face, Notchtop
WI-3+, M3

east face notchtop colorado ice climb

IN - thin year

 

   


North American Avalanche Danger Scale

 


Danger Level

(& Color)

 


Avalanche Probability and Avalanche Trigger

 


Degree and Distribution of Avalanche Danger

 


Recommended Action

in the Backcountry

 

What Why Where What to Do

LOW

 (GREEN)


Natural avalanches very unlikely. Human triggered avalanches unlikely.

 

Generally stable snow. Isolated areas of instability. Travel is generally safe. Normal caution is advised.


 MODERATE

(YELLOW)

 

 

Natural avalanches unlikely. Human triggered avalanches possible.

 

 

Unstable slabs possible on steep terrain.

 

 

Use caution in steeper terrain and  on certain aspects. 

 

   

    CONSIDERABLE

(ORANGE)

 

Natural avalanches possible. Human triggered avalanches probable.

Unstable slabs probable on steep terrain. Be increasingly cautious in steeper terrain.


HIGH 

(RED)

 

 

Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

 

 

Unstable slabs likely on a variety of aspects and slope angles.

 

 

Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Safest travel on windward ridges and lower angle slopes without steeper terrain above.

 

EXTREME 

(BLACK)

 

Widespread natural or human triggered avalanches certain.

 

Extremely unstable slabs certain on most aspects and slope angles. Large, destructive avalanches possible. Large, destructive avalanches possible. 

 

Travel in avalanche terrain should be avoided and travel confined to low angle terrain well away from avalanche path run-outs.

 



 

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